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1 May 2009 Sources of Variation in Singing Probability of Florida Grasshopper Sparrows, and Implications for Design and Analysis of Auditory Surveys
Wesley M. Hochachka, Maiken Winter, Russell A. Charif
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Abstract

Each record of a bird on a survey is the result of three processes: (1) a bird being physically present, (2) this bird making itself available for detection, given that it is present, and (3) the bird being detected given that it has made itself available for detection. We employ a novel approach to examine the variation in availability for detection of the endangered Florida Grasshopper Sparrow (Ammodramus savannarum floridanus). Analyzing multi-day acoustic recordings, we quantified the effects of four sources of variation in the probability of singing: consistent variation among birds, day-to-day variation that was consistent from individual to individual, withinmorning variation consistent from individual to individual, and short-term variation related to birds' immediately previous state of singing (whether a bird had been singing in the immediate past). The two most important sources of variation were changes in singing probability with time of day and short-term differences due to an individual's intrinsic state, with birds currently singing being more likely to sing in the immediate future. The latter effect was not constant because nonsingers were more likely to start singing at morning civil twilight and singers were more likely to stop singing later in the morning. Monitoring Florida Grasshopper Sparrows needs to account for sharp drops in the probability of singing at times away from the daily window of peak singing activity. Additional analyses indicate that this conclusion holds across the species' range. We suggest that our findings have even wider applicability among birds.

© 2009 by The Cooper Ornithological Society. All rights reserved. Please direct all requests for permission to photocopy or reproduce article content through the University of California Press's Rights and Permissions website, http://www.ucpressjournals.com/reprintInfo.asp.
Wesley M. Hochachka, Maiken Winter, and Russell A. Charif "Sources of Variation in Singing Probability of Florida Grasshopper Sparrows, and Implications for Design and Analysis of Auditory Surveys," The Condor 111(2), 349-360, (1 May 2009). https://doi.org/10.1525/cond.2009.080086
Received: 16 November 2008; Accepted: 1 January 2009; Published: 1 May 2009
KEYWORDS
Ammodramus savannarum floridanus
availability for detection
dawn chorus
Florida Grass-hopper Sparrow
singing probability
temporal autocorrelation
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