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10 April 2017 Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) Abundance Model Improved With Relative Humidity and Precipitation-Driven Egg Hatching
Joceline Lega, Heidi E. Brown, Roberto Barrera
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Abstract

We propose an improved Aedes aegypti (L.) abundance model that takes into account the effect of relative humidity (RH) on adult survival, as well as rainfall-triggered egg hatching. The model uses temperaturedependent development rates described in the literature as well as documented estimates for mosquito survival in environments with high RH, and for egg desiccation. We show that combining the two additional components leads to better agreement with surveillance trap data and with dengue incidence reports in various municipalities of Puerto Rico than incorporating either alone or neither. Capitalizing on the positive association between disease incidence and vector abundance, this improved model is therefore useful to estimate incidence of Ae. aegypti-borne diseases in locations where the vector is abundant year-round.

© The Authors 2017. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Entomological Society of America. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com
Joceline Lega, Heidi E. Brown, and Roberto Barrera "Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) Abundance Model Improved With Relative Humidity and Precipitation-Driven Egg Hatching," Journal of Medical Entomology 54(5), 1375-1384, (10 April 2017). https://doi.org/10.1093/jme/tjx077
Received: 3 December 2016; Accepted: 19 March 2017; Published: 10 April 2017
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KEYWORDS
arboviral transmission
invasive species
modeling
mosquito control
mosquito-borne disease
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