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16 September 2020 Marked Cards in the Pack: Using Playing Cards to Teach the Importance of Sample Size & Testing Assumptions in Capture–Recapture Estimations of Population Size
Michael Calver, Timothy Blake
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Abstract

Estimating population size is essential for many applications in population ecology, so capture–recapture techniques to do this are often taught in secondary school classrooms and introductory university units. However, few classroom simulations of capture–recapture consider the sensitivity of results to sampling intensity, the important concept that the population size calculated is an estimate with error attached, or the consequences of violating assumptions underpinning particular capture–recapture models. We describe a simple approach to teaching the Lincoln index method of capture–recapture using packs of playing cards. Students can trial different sampling intensities, calculate 95% confidence intervals for population estimates, and explore the consequences of violating specific assumptions.

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Michael Calver and Timothy Blake "Marked Cards in the Pack: Using Playing Cards to Teach the Importance of Sample Size & Testing Assumptions in Capture–Recapture Estimations of Population Size," The American Biology Teacher 82(6), 396-401, (16 September 2020). https://doi.org/10.1525/abt.2020.82.6.396
Published: 16 September 2020
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KEYWORDS
animal populations
assumptions
confidence interval
Lincoln index
mark—recapture
population estimates
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