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1 October 2006 Prediction Failure of a Wolf Landscape Model
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Abstract

I compared 101 wolf (Canis lupus) pack territories formed in Wisconsin during 1993–2004 to the logistic regression predictive model of Mladenoff et al. (1995, 1997, 1999). Of these, 60% were located in putative habitat suitabilities <50%, including 22% in suitabilities of 0–9%. About a third of the area with putative suitabilities >50% remained unoccupied by known packs after 24 years of recolonization. This model was a poor predictor of wolf re-colonizing locations in Wisconsin, apparently because it failed to consider the adaptability of wolves. Such models should be used cautiously in wolf-management or restoration plans.

L. DAVID MECH "Prediction Failure of a Wolf Landscape Model," Wildlife Society Bulletin 34(3), 874-877, (1 October 2006). https://doi.org/10.2193/0091-7648(2006)34[874:PFOAWL]2.0.CO;2
Published: 1 October 2006
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